The Grasshopper – The Latest Snow Forecast

The Grasshopper – The Latest Snow Forecast

Sunday 21 July – A couple of floundering fronts and a livelier one lined up

 

Synoptic Outlook

A front will weaken as it slowly inches over the Aussie Alps this afternoon and evening. The floundering front should drop 1-5cm of snow, but it might fall as sleet or rain at base levels, especially on NSW resorts where the lower end that snowfall range is likely.

 

After some sunshine on Monday, the next front will hit during Tuesday. This front looks livelier, bringing a more potent concoction of cold air, with 10-20cm of snow likely to fall down to base levels into the early hours of Wednesday.

 

Drizzle later on Wednesday will try to spoil things, but a ridge will quickly settle things down later on Thursday.

 

Image of The Day

The front to the west will give us a light dusting as it flounders across the Aussie Alps later today. Source:: NZ Metservice (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

 

Sunday 21 July

A fine start this morning, then the front will bring a period of snowfall to Vic resorts this afternoon and on NSW resorts this evening. It may fall as sleet or rain at base levels, especially on NSW resorts. Gale NW winds will abate behind the front.

 

Monday 22 July

A mostly sunny day with NW winds.

 

Tuesday 23 July

Snow day! Snowfalls will spread east during the morning, with moderate to heavy falls after dark. NW winds will blow a gale with blizzard conditions.

 

Wednesday 24 July

A few leftover flurries will fall, but it’ll turn to rain and drizzle on Vic resorts from afternoon as temps lift. Strong to gale W-SW winds.

 

Extended Outlook

A third cold front should brush the Aussie Alps late Friday. Models have been indecisive on this one, chopping and changing between a fizzer and a full-on snowstorm. Current forecasts unfortunately have reverted back to a real fizzer with only snow flurries and drizzle at best. Monday and Tuesday look hopeful, as most models indicate something stormy, but as always, we must temper our excitement as we’ve seen too many fizzers this season already.

 

That’s all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my weekly email list by filling in the box below. If you have a question or feedback for me, hit me up on facebook.

Sunday 21 July – The cream has curdled in Canterbury

 

Synoptic Outlook

After dishing out 20-30cm of full fat cream for Canterbury ski fields, the broad low sitting on the middle of the country is now serving up something a little more curdled and rancid. Freezing levels are now sitting around 1800m, so snow is falling as rain on lower slopes and we have heavy falls of it this morning (avalanches may be a real risk). It will all peter out this evening in Canterbury as the low dissipates into nothingness.

 

A ridge will lie over the South Island during Monday and Tuesday, while a light easterly flow over the North Island will give Ruapehu a couple of mint days. Cloud clagging up the South Island will finally clear on Wednesday as northwesterlies kick in ahead of a low approaching from the west.

 

Image of The Day

The low sitting on the Middle of NZ will dissipate into nothingness later today. The cream has curdled in Canterbury, where heavy snowfalls have turned wet on lower slopes. Source:: NZ Metservice (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

 

Sunday 21 July

Any remaining snowfalls will clear the Southern Lakes early this morning, but remain cloudy. Heavy snow and rain in Canterbury will ease this morning and peter out this evening. S-SE winds easing.

 

Drizzle and flurries on Ruapehu will clear to a beaut afternoon with freshies to be found. Northwesterly gradually easing.

 

Monday 22 July

The sun should pop out from time to time between clouds over the South Island, but a shower or two may show up in Canterbury in the afternoon. Light winds.

 

A superb, sunny day up Ruapehu with light winds.

 

Tuesday 23 July

A calm day for the Southern Lakes where cloud may reach up to lower slopes, but it’ll be sunny up higher.

 

Cloudy with light snow flurries and light winds for Canterbury.

 

Another mint day up Ruapehu with light winds, although there’ll be some afternoon cloud and a possible snow flurry.

 

Wednesday 24 July

 

Morning cloud clearing to a fine and sunny day for the South Island, while a NW breeze develops.

 

Partly cloud on Ruapehu with possible snow showers. Winds will be nice and light again.

 

Extended Outlook

The low approaching from the west will veer to the northeast on Thursday, and then slowly cross the Far North on Friday where it should aimlessly loiter just offshore through next weekend. While Ruapehu will see a mix of rain and snow for some of the time, a ridge over the South Island will bring mostly calm, settled conditions with good doses of sunshine.

 

That’s all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my weekly email list by filling in the box below. If you have a question or feedback for me, hit me up on facebook.

Japan Forecast – Powder day for Honshu & Sunshine for Hokkaido before Mayhem Monday hits.

 

Thursday 7th March (Japan time)

 

Ten-day snow accumulations are tantalisingly sizeable. Source:: windy.com

 

Now that we’re in the thick of spring, we’ll see it all this week. Rain on Honshu will turn to snow tonight, with Friday set to offer up some good powder and what could be the best conditions of the week for resorts there. Hokkaido will offer fantastic feel-good weather along with a predawn dusting on Sunday to top it all off. Things take a turn on Mayhem Monday however, as an angry low rampages over Japan with super strong winds, heavy rain and snowfalls eventually abating on Tuesday.

 

Ten-day snow accumulations are tantalisingly sizeable, but the bulk of this will pile up on mid-upper slopes with wetter slushier stuff lower down. Adding to that, some models show a rip-snorter of a snowstorm next weekend that may or may not come to fruition. It would certainly be a fairytale end to what is my last forecast for the season. That’s right folks, this is indeed my last and it has been a blast, but there are still plenty or turns to be made this season before hanging up the skis. See you all again when the southern hemisphere turn on.

 

Thursday 7 Mar:

A low sitting off the Pacific Coast of Honshu is currently dumping snow onto mid & upper slopes, but rain lower down. Temps will steadily drop from later this afternoon as strong northerly winds hit, with snowfalls lowering to base levels. It’s a lovely day on Hokkaido with plenty of sunshine and winds out of the N-NE.

 

Friday 8 Mar:

Snowfalls will gradually peter out on Honshu as northerly winds turn to the west. Accumulations from this event will mostly be within the 15-25cm range, so make the most of this fresh bonanza while you can. Hokkaido should have a beautiful sunrise and sunset, with cloud and maybe a snowflake or two in between.

 

Saturday 9 Mar:

A high passes over southern Honshu in the early hours, turning the winds over Japan to the SW and causing temps to steadily rise to a balmy day with a mix of sun and cloud.

 

Sunday 10 Mar:

There’ll be a predawn dusting on Hokkaido, with central parts receiving the most, eventually clearing to a beaut day as winds ease. On Honshu, high cloud will thicken during the afternoon as a low approaches from the East China Sea, spreading rain up to central Honshu at night.

 

Monday 11 Mar:

The low will rampage up Japan with strong winds and warm temps adding to the mayhem caused by rain. There’ll be really heavy falls, especially on the Pacific side of Japan, which will turn to snow about the tops of Honshu at night. Snow will fall to low levels on Hokkaido at first, then gradually lift to upper slopes at night.

 

Tuesday 12 Mar:

The angry low will track away to the north while rain and snowfalls gradually peter out, but there may be more showers later, which will fall as snow on upper slopes. Winds will blow a gale over northern Honshu and Hokkaido.

 

Wednesday 13 Mar:

Snow showers and flurries will blow in on a westerly wind, which will be quite strong. The snowfalls will be a bit wet and heavy at low levels.

North American Forecast – Spring Snowfalls Continue

 

Wednesday 6th March (Pacific time)

 

Yet another awesome ten-day snow accumulation chart. This one however, shows good snowfalls more evenly spread throughout North America. Source:: windy.com

 

The second week of spring looks set to be a doozy with good snowfalls more evenly spread throughout North America compared to previous weeks. This is all thanks to a broad and complex low-pressure system, which drifts over western North America during the next few days, followed a cold airmass pushing south later in the week. With this being the last forecast of the season, there couldn’t be better way to sign out of one of the best seasons in living memory – this one will go down in the books for sure. Happy spring skiing to you all, I’m heading into the back country and will reappear once the leaves are falling in the Southern Hemisphere.

 

Thursday 7 Mar:

A broad and complex area of low pressure covers almost the entire western half of North America providing scattered light-moderate snowfalls for all-and-sundry, with pockets of heavier falls along the Rockies during the first half of the day as well as the Sierras during the second half. It may be a bit wet and heavy on lower slopes of many resorts due to fairly warm temps.

 

Friday 8 Mar:

Scattered snowfalls throughout western North America will gradually clear late in the day or at night as all of that low pressure migrates east. The mountains of Wyoming, Utah and Colorado look to gain the most with some heavier (moderate) falls, but again it might be a bit wet and slushy on lower slopes, as temps remain warm there. Temps should be cold enough elsewhere.

 

Saturday 9 Mar:

High pressure will see a mix of sun and cloud, with just a smattering of leftover flurries over the American Rockies during the morning and isolated snow showers in the Sierras.

 

Sunday 10 Mar:

Weak low pressure develops over the southern states to provide isolated snow showers for the southern Cascades and Sierras, which eventually spreads inland to Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico at night with decent, moderate-ish falls on the cards. Plenty of sunshine for resorts farther north.

 

Monday 11 Mar:

After what feels like an eternity, Canada will finally see a good dump of powder courtesy of a cold front rolling in from the Gulf of Alaska. There’ll be moderate-to-heavy snowfalls along the Coast Mountains and light-to-moderate falls further inland. The front will also roll over the Cascades later in the day with moderate-to-heavy falls.

Snowfalls farther south over Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico may actually be heavy at times, especially over the lower two states, with possible thunderstorms to boot.

 

Tuesday 12 Mar:

The front from the previous day continues to spread light-to-moderate snowfalls south and east from Canada and the Cascades all the way to the Sierras and Utah. Meanwhile, moderate-heavy snowfalls over Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico will ease and become few and far between.

 

Wednesday 13 Mar:

Scattered light snowfalls throughout the Rockies, but as the cold airmass continues pushing south, there’ll be some slightly heavier, moderate-ish falls over Arizona and New Mexico. Any leftover flurries along the Pacific crest will clear early.

Latest Outlooks

Who is The Grasshopper ?

The Grasshopper. Some say he hatched one summer on a Himalayan plateau. As cold Autumn winds set in, he stumbled upon a scrap of goretex shed by some unfortunate climber and turned it into the smallest snowsuit ever. Then he strapped himself into a nearby leaf and carved his way down the mountains, hitching a ride with some hikers back to civilisation.

Now Mountainwatch’s resident meteorology sensei, this season we can expect a lot from the little critter. His beloved monthly outlooks across Australia and New Zealand over the southern hemisphere winter are being replaced with outlooks for both Japan and North America over November and December leading into the northern hemisphere winter. From there, the little critter will go into overdrive producing weekly forecasts for Japan and North America from December through to March. No doubt he’ll be run off his feet, so it’s a good thing he has six.