The Grasshopper – The Latest Snow Forecast

The Grasshopper – The Latest Snow Forecast

Thursday 18 July – Freshies to be found

 

Synoptic Outlook

After a nice top up late yesterday, a weak ridge today will see conditions abate a little, making it a good day to hunt out some freshies.

 

Another front early Friday should drop 1-5cm, mostly on Vic resorts where it’ll be a bit wet and sleety at base levels, before high pressure brings a sunnier and calmer afternoon – pencil it in.

 

Northwesterlies pick up on Saturday ahead of another front, which will weaken significantly as it slowly inches it’s way over the Aussie Alps during the second half of Sunday, bringing a mix of rain and snow.

 

Image of The Day

Freshies to be found today if you don’t mind chilly, strong winds. A front will bring a mix early Friday. Source:: NZ Metservice (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

 

Thursday 18 July

Plenty of sunshine between clouds flying by overhead, while strong SW winds abate and turn to the west.

 

Friday 19 July

Between 1-5cm of snow should fall before lunchtime, most of it on Vic resorts where it’ll be wet and sleety at base levels. The sun should pop out between clouds in the afternoon, while strong westerlies ease.

 

Saturday 20 July

Partly cloudy, with a spot of drizzle possible on Vic resorts as NW winds strengthen.

 

Sunday 21 July

A fine start, then the front will bring a mix of rain and snow to Vic resorts from midday and NSW resorts later in the evening. Gale NW winds will abate behind the front.

 

Extended Outlook

Northwesterlies will pick up again on Tuesday before yet another, but more vigorous front hits late in the day. The front will bring a more potent concoction of cold air with 5-15cm of good quality snow likely to fall into the early hours of Wednesday.

 

High pressure should sit just to the north over the following days as the strong westerly flow gradually eases.

 

That’s all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my weekly email list by filling in the box below. If you have a question or feedback for me, hit me up on facebook.

Thursday 18 July – Plenty of snow down south, plenty of uncertainty

 

Synoptic Outlook

A broad trough in the Tasman spins up into a low today as it approaches NZ. Strong N-NW winds will send scattered snowfalls over the South Island before the low crosses over the centre of the country during the latter half of Friday, while also giving Ruapehu a heavy mix of snow and rain.

 

From this point onwards, there are a lot of question marks regarding the movement and intensity of this low. For that reason the forecast has changed a bit over the last week, and is subject to change again.

 

Our best estimates are that the low should do a little shimmy down the east coast of the South Island while weakening away into nothingness this weekend. Meanwhile, a low spins up and darts over the Far North of the country to join forces with a low that pops out of the tropics to form a savage looking beast way out in the Pacific. It’s this low from the tropics that is the likely culprit for our uncertainty.

 

Despite this, the South Island should receive decent snowfalls this weekend, with Canterbury likely to take the cream with moderate falls. Snow showers for Ruapehu on Saturday should clear to a beaut day Sunday.

 

Image of The Day

The broad trough in the Tasman will spin up into a low as it approaches the country today. It’ll then bring good snowfalls to the South Island tomorrow and the weekend. Source:: NZ Metservice (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

 

Thursday 18 July

Cloud increases over the country this afternoon with a light snow flurry or two over the Southern Lakes and Ruapehu, as well as Canterbury after dark. Brisk W-NW winds.

 

Friday 19 July

Scattered snowfalls over the South Island, although there could be a period or two of more consistent falls over the Southern Lakes where a light SE breeze develops. Northerlies will die out in Canterbury.

 

A bit grotty up Ruapehu as rain sets in during the morning, which will fall as snow down to mid slopes. We can throw gale northerlies into the mix, but both the wind and precip will ease from late afternoon.

 

Weekend 20-21 July

Wax up those powder skis and boards, because the South Island is looking positively powdery! S-SE winds should push in consistent light to moderate snowfalls. It’ll be a bit of a whiteout with cloud clagging up the place, so get your rosy goggles on. Both wind and snow will peter out during Sunday.

Snow showers and NW winds on Ruapehu this Saturday, should clear to a beaut day with light winds this Sunday.

 

Extended Outlook

A weak ridge over the South Island and a light S-SE flow over the North Island should keep things clear and calm for Monday and Tuesday.

 

The beast that I mentioned earlier will still be lurking about in the Pacific and may push cold air over the country on Wednesday, with snow flurries or showers possible on Ruapehu and Canterbury. High pressure then builds next Thursday with another clear, calm day in store.

 

That’s all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my weekly email list by filling in the box below. If you have a question or feedback for me, hit me up on facebook.

Japan Forecast – Powder day for Honshu & Sunshine for Hokkaido before Mayhem Monday hits.

 

Thursday 7th March (Japan time)

 

Ten-day snow accumulations are tantalisingly sizeable. Source:: windy.com

 

Now that we’re in the thick of spring, we’ll see it all this week. Rain on Honshu will turn to snow tonight, with Friday set to offer up some good powder and what could be the best conditions of the week for resorts there. Hokkaido will offer fantastic feel-good weather along with a predawn dusting on Sunday to top it all off. Things take a turn on Mayhem Monday however, as an angry low rampages over Japan with super strong winds, heavy rain and snowfalls eventually abating on Tuesday.

 

Ten-day snow accumulations are tantalisingly sizeable, but the bulk of this will pile up on mid-upper slopes with wetter slushier stuff lower down. Adding to that, some models show a rip-snorter of a snowstorm next weekend that may or may not come to fruition. It would certainly be a fairytale end to what is my last forecast for the season. That’s right folks, this is indeed my last and it has been a blast, but there are still plenty or turns to be made this season before hanging up the skis. See you all again when the southern hemisphere turn on.

 

Thursday 7 Mar:

A low sitting off the Pacific Coast of Honshu is currently dumping snow onto mid & upper slopes, but rain lower down. Temps will steadily drop from later this afternoon as strong northerly winds hit, with snowfalls lowering to base levels. It’s a lovely day on Hokkaido with plenty of sunshine and winds out of the N-NE.

 

Friday 8 Mar:

Snowfalls will gradually peter out on Honshu as northerly winds turn to the west. Accumulations from this event will mostly be within the 15-25cm range, so make the most of this fresh bonanza while you can. Hokkaido should have a beautiful sunrise and sunset, with cloud and maybe a snowflake or two in between.

 

Saturday 9 Mar:

A high passes over southern Honshu in the early hours, turning the winds over Japan to the SW and causing temps to steadily rise to a balmy day with a mix of sun and cloud.

 

Sunday 10 Mar:

There’ll be a predawn dusting on Hokkaido, with central parts receiving the most, eventually clearing to a beaut day as winds ease. On Honshu, high cloud will thicken during the afternoon as a low approaches from the East China Sea, spreading rain up to central Honshu at night.

 

Monday 11 Mar:

The low will rampage up Japan with strong winds and warm temps adding to the mayhem caused by rain. There’ll be really heavy falls, especially on the Pacific side of Japan, which will turn to snow about the tops of Honshu at night. Snow will fall to low levels on Hokkaido at first, then gradually lift to upper slopes at night.

 

Tuesday 12 Mar:

The angry low will track away to the north while rain and snowfalls gradually peter out, but there may be more showers later, which will fall as snow on upper slopes. Winds will blow a gale over northern Honshu and Hokkaido.

 

Wednesday 13 Mar:

Snow showers and flurries will blow in on a westerly wind, which will be quite strong. The snowfalls will be a bit wet and heavy at low levels.

North American Forecast – Spring Snowfalls Continue

 

Wednesday 6th March (Pacific time)

 

Yet another awesome ten-day snow accumulation chart. This one however, shows good snowfalls more evenly spread throughout North America. Source:: windy.com

 

The second week of spring looks set to be a doozy with good snowfalls more evenly spread throughout North America compared to previous weeks. This is all thanks to a broad and complex low-pressure system, which drifts over western North America during the next few days, followed a cold airmass pushing south later in the week. With this being the last forecast of the season, there couldn’t be better way to sign out of one of the best seasons in living memory – this one will go down in the books for sure. Happy spring skiing to you all, I’m heading into the back country and will reappear once the leaves are falling in the Southern Hemisphere.

 

Thursday 7 Mar:

A broad and complex area of low pressure covers almost the entire western half of North America providing scattered light-moderate snowfalls for all-and-sundry, with pockets of heavier falls along the Rockies during the first half of the day as well as the Sierras during the second half. It may be a bit wet and heavy on lower slopes of many resorts due to fairly warm temps.

 

Friday 8 Mar:

Scattered snowfalls throughout western North America will gradually clear late in the day or at night as all of that low pressure migrates east. The mountains of Wyoming, Utah and Colorado look to gain the most with some heavier (moderate) falls, but again it might be a bit wet and slushy on lower slopes, as temps remain warm there. Temps should be cold enough elsewhere.

 

Saturday 9 Mar:

High pressure will see a mix of sun and cloud, with just a smattering of leftover flurries over the American Rockies during the morning and isolated snow showers in the Sierras.

 

Sunday 10 Mar:

Weak low pressure develops over the southern states to provide isolated snow showers for the southern Cascades and Sierras, which eventually spreads inland to Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico at night with decent, moderate-ish falls on the cards. Plenty of sunshine for resorts farther north.

 

Monday 11 Mar:

After what feels like an eternity, Canada will finally see a good dump of powder courtesy of a cold front rolling in from the Gulf of Alaska. There’ll be moderate-to-heavy snowfalls along the Coast Mountains and light-to-moderate falls further inland. The front will also roll over the Cascades later in the day with moderate-to-heavy falls.

Snowfalls farther south over Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico may actually be heavy at times, especially over the lower two states, with possible thunderstorms to boot.

 

Tuesday 12 Mar:

The front from the previous day continues to spread light-to-moderate snowfalls south and east from Canada and the Cascades all the way to the Sierras and Utah. Meanwhile, moderate-heavy snowfalls over Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico will ease and become few and far between.

 

Wednesday 13 Mar:

Scattered light snowfalls throughout the Rockies, but as the cold airmass continues pushing south, there’ll be some slightly heavier, moderate-ish falls over Arizona and New Mexico. Any leftover flurries along the Pacific crest will clear early.

Latest Outlooks

Who is The Grasshopper ?

The Grasshopper. Some say he hatched one summer on a Himalayan plateau. As cold Autumn winds set in, he stumbled upon a scrap of goretex shed by some unfortunate climber and turned it into the smallest snowsuit ever. Then he strapped himself into a nearby leaf and carved his way down the mountains, hitching a ride with some hikers back to civilisation.

Now Mountainwatch’s resident meteorology sensei, this season we can expect a lot from the little critter. His beloved monthly outlooks across Australia and New Zealand over the southern hemisphere winter are being replaced with outlooks for both Japan and North America over November and December leading into the northern hemisphere winter. From there, the little critter will go into overdrive producing weekly forecasts for Japan and North America from December through to March. No doubt he’ll be run off his feet, so it’s a good thing he has six.