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Australian Alps Detailed Forecast

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The Mountainwatch Detailed Forecast is provided by our resident meteorology sensei "The Grasshopper". The analysis is issued every morning and is intended to provide an additional human element to the automated forecast data provided above. Sometimes we won't agree exactly with the model data - but if we ever call something significantly different we'll do our best to explain why.

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6:15am Wednesday 23 July 2014

Conditions Summary:
Cold enough for snowmaking again overnight and another great day ahead.

Synoptic Outlook:
Our high holds on for another 24 hours, then a low approaching from the west is going to generate a little snow on Thursday.

Things will get a bit messy on Friday because the low will be pushed south-east towards Tasmania and the north-westerly flow across the alps is going to warm to the point where snow will struggle to fall below 1850m and we’ll have showers below. Thankfully we’re not talking huge amounts.

That north-west flow continues on Saturday as it cools again to allow a couple of flurries then it may warm again on Sunday to bring back light showers.

In summary, fine today then a messy few days of light snow showers and light rain showers. The north-west winds rise tomorrow but should not become strong enough to ruin the picnic.

Image of the day:

The high holds the muck ahead of the low at bay for another 24 hours or so. Source:: MetService NZ and BOM (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

Wednesday 23 July:
Fine and sunny.

Thursday 24 July:
Snow showers develop afternoon.

Friday 25 July:
A few showers, falling as snow above 1850m.

Saturday 26 July:
Just a chance of a flurry or two.

Sunday 27 July:
Chance of a light shower.

Extended Outlook:
Several fronts will make a play at the Alps next week but it looks like only one will make a real impact and this is likely to arrive around Friday 1 August. It could be very decent, but there’s too much disagreement between models to make an estimate yet, so I’ll have crack tomorrow. If you want to be sure of an update then sign up to my weekly email in the box above.

That's all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my new weekly email list below. If you have a question or feedback for me hit me up at grasshoppermw@gmail.com, on my facebook page, twitter, or join in the Facebook discussion below.

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