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Australian Alps Detailed Forecast

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The Mountainwatch Detailed Forecast is provided by our resident meteorology sensei "The Grasshopper". The analysis is issued every morning and is intended to provide an additional human element to the automated forecast data provided above. Sometimes we won't agree exactly with the model data - but if we ever call something significantly different we'll do our best to explain why.

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6:00am Thursday 31 July 2014

Conditions Summary:
Mental winds again today. I wouldn’t go.

Synoptic Outlook:
There’s a strong ridge of high pressure lying through the centre of the continent, and deep lows moving through the southern ocean. In between these extrema there’s a band of strong westerly winds that are reaching up and tickling the Australian Alps.

North-westerlies continue at crazy levels today, but to make it all better we get smashed by a cold change tonight. 15 to 25cm of snow from 7pm until midday tomorrow will do just nicely.

Flurries or snow showers continue from Friday afternoon into Saturday before the next high moves in, and we may squeeze another 2 to 10cm out of that.

Image of the day:

Our cold change will meet us tonight. The north-westerlies ahead of it are crazy strong. Source:: MetService NZ and BOM (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

Thursday 31 July:
A cold westerly change delivers 5cm of snow to low levels from 7pm onwards.

Friday 1 August:
Westerlies contribute another 10 to 20cm to low levels by midday, then southwesterlies and snow showers add another 2 to 8cm.

Saturday 2 August:
A few flurries. Another couple of centimetres might build up

Extended Outlook:
The highs are back in control by the weekend, and the next one is a freaking monster. We should see another weather system make a play by the end of the week. I suspect that when it arrives it’s going to be a similar arm wrestle and I would put my money on the high winning at this stage.

It may be some time before we’re talking another big dump. Watch for my next seasonal outlook to be issued in a couple of days.

That's all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my new weekly email list by filling in the box above. If you have a question or feedback for me hit me up at grasshoppermw@gmail.com, on my facebook page, twitter, or join in the Facebook discussion below.

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