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New Zealand Forecast –  Mixed Midweek Storm Before Icy Southerlies Bring Weekend Freshies

Published early Wednesday, 12th August 2026

We had excellent conditions both above and below the boot on Tuesday after a storm at the weekend delivered a tidy 10cm and 18cm of fresh powder to Cardrona and Treble Cone respectively, while Coronet Peak and The Remarkables also received a few centimetres. Canterbury also received a 2-5cm refresh, although Ohau, closer to the action in the south, scored 12cm, while light snow fell mostly on the upper slopes of Mt Ruapehu.

The next storm, a frontal system, is now fast approaching and will push in from the west, bringing strong winds and a mix of rain and snow on Wednesday into early Thursday before conditions clear for a mostly fine Thursday and Friday.

Winter then bites back over the weekend as icy southerlies sweep up the country, bringing a couple of light rounds of fresh powder to ski fields from the Southern Lakes up to Mt Ruapehu. Although accumulations will only range from a dusting to a small top-up, the snow guns will get a good long run to give the groomers an extra boost.

Latest pressure analysis and satellite image. Source: The BOM (vandalised by the Grasshopper)

Wednesday 12th August

A frontal rainband pushes into the South Island from the west, strengthening north-to-northwest winds which reach gale force in exposed areas. A mix of rain and snow will spill over the Main Divide, reaching ski fields for at least a time. Ski fields closest to the Main Divide, such as Treble Cone, Ohau and Temple Basin,  will see the bulk of the precipitation and the lowest snow levels.

Thursday 13th August

The frontal storm system fizzles out over the South Island, with rain and high-level snow clearing early, leaving fine conditions with a little high cloud, while brisk northwest winds ease.

Friday 14th August

A weak ridge of high pressure brings a mostly sunny day to South Island ski fields, with light northwest breezes developing in the afternoon. There’ll just be a little cloud over Canterbury in the morning.

Saturday 15th August

An icy-cold southerly change whips up the country, giving the Southern Lakes a dusting during the morning, and then a slightly larger top-up in Canterbury later in the morning and afternoon, before finally reaching Mt Ruapehu late in the day with a wee top-up also expected overnight.

Sunday 16th August

An extra strong surge of icy-cold southerly winds will bring another dusting or small top-up to ski fields across the country. This will likely happen for the Southern Lakes early, then for Canterbury later in the day, and then for Mt Ruapehu overnight again.

Extended Forecast

Next week starts cold as the south-to-southwest winds persist through Monday and Thursday, the 17th and 18th of August, with a little more snow expected, before high pressure moves in on Wednesday the 19th of August for a run of fine, settled winter days.

There’s a chance another snow-bearing system could roll through over the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd, but it’s still firmly in the highly uncertain basket, so don’t count on it just yet.

That’s all from me today, folks. I’m sending out NZ forecasts every Monday, Wednesday and Friday throughout the season. Have a great couple of days, and I’ll see you back here on Friday.

Grasshopper

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