The Mountainwatch Detailed Forecast is provided by our resident meteorology sensei "The Grasshopper". The analysis is issued every morning and is intended to provide an additional human element to the automated forecast data provided above. Sometimes we won't agree exactly with the model data - but if we ever call something significantly different we'll do our best to explain why.
7:00am Thursday 30 July 2015
Partly cloudy this morning with strong to gale force north-westerly winds. 56 Km/h wind recorded at the top of the Perisher Express at 4.45am.
Strong to gale force winds from the north-west today between a high over the Tasman Sea and a weak cold front approaching from the south-west. Light snow will develop this evening and overnight under the front to leave a couple of centimetres by Friday morning. The high builds back tomorrow afternoon giving us a partly cloudy day with the odd flurry about on the peaks. Light snow showers will develop again on Saturday morning as a second cold front meanders over the Aussie Alps. Sunday's front marks the start of a few days of colder weather and it has a bit more zing than Friday and Saturdays' fronts. Moderate snow will fall. The snow level will lower from 1600m around midday to 1200m by the evening - this means that a bit of rain could fall on the lower slopes at the start of this event. The front does look a bit drier than in previous days though - check out the extended outlook for more information.
Image of the day: You can clearly see the cold air mass with plenty of showers out to the south-west. Source:: BOM (vandalised by the Grasshopper)
Thursday 30 July:
Mostly fine but watch out for that wind. Gale force north-westerlies making wind hold an issue. Clouding over from the south-west later.
Friday 31 July:
A dusting of snow during the early morning hours clearing to partly cloudy skies with a few flurries knocking about.
Saturday 1 August:
Snow showers during the morning dropping between 1 and 8 cm. Partly cloudy skies and flurries in the afternoon.
Sunday 2 August:
A rain snow mix during the day, snow will get down to 1200m by evening time. 2-15 cm of wet snow up top.
Ok, so what appeared to be Snowmageddon version 2.0 a few days ago is gradually getting downgraded by the models as they are keen to build a finger of high pressure over the region. You can still expect snow on Monday and Tuesday - but just not as much as we squeezed of the last couple of storms. Frequent snow showers on Monday with a couple of flakes getting all the way down to 700m in the super cold air in the wake of Sunday's front. Tuesday will see a few more showers or flurries but the intensity just won't be there as the high strangles the power out of this system. It is time to revise the storm totals down to 10-30 cm. Beyond next Tuesday high pressure builds in and it'll stay cold. We will just have to make up the difference with snowmaking I guess.
That's all from the Grasshopper. Wanna keep your finger on the pulse of all things snow? Join my weekly email list by filling in the box above. If you have a question or feedback for me join in the discussion below, or hit me up on facebook or twitter.